• Risk-neutral probabilities are the probabilities of possible future outcomes adjusted for risk.

  • Risk-neutral probabilities can be used to calculate the expected value of assets.
  • Risk-neutral probabilities are used to determine the fair price of an asset or financial holding.
  • The idea of risk-neutral probabilities is often used in the pricing of derivatives.
  • A key assumption in calculating risk-neutral probabilities is the absence of arbitrage.